Ch 5: Contemporary South Asia
UPSC tests South Asian geopolitics, India-Pakistan relations, regional conflicts (Kashmir, Afghanistan), and multilateral frameworks like SAARC and BIMSTEC.
Introduction: South Asia as a Region
Defines South Asia's geographic, cultural, and political boundaries—essential for understanding why Maldives, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and Afghanistan are grouped together. UPSC frequently asks which countries constitute 'South Asia' in MCQs (e.g., Is Myanmar part of South Asia?). Know the eight-nation SAARC membership precisely. Trap: confusing South Asia with Southeast Asia or ASEAN. This foundational section clarifies regional identity, critical for all subsequent geopolitical analysis.
SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) members: India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bhutan, Maldives, Afghanistan. Founded 1985 in Dhaka. Myanmar, Thailand, Indonesia excluded despite geographic/cultural links.
India–Pakistan Relations
Covers partition, communal violence, four wars (1947, 1965, 1971, 1999 Kargil), nuclear weapons, terrorism (26/11, Mumbai attacks, Uri), and peace initiatives (Simla Agreement 1972, Lahore Declaration 1999, composite dialogue). UPSC has repeatedly asked about Kashmir dispute, Line of Control (LoC), proxy wars, and why peace talks have failed (e.g., GS-1 2014, 2018 papers). Know specific treaty terms: Simla Agreement's emphasis on bilateralism and renunciation of force; Indus Waters Treaty 1960 as a successful cooperation model. Trap: oversimplifying Pakistan as a monolithic actor—understand domestic factions (military, civilian govt, extremist groups). Critical for any GS-1 prelims question on South Asia.
Partition resulted in ~1 million deaths (communal violence), 15 million displaced persons (largest migration in history). Radcliffe Line separated India-Pakistan; Bengal and Punjab bifurcated along religious lines. Immediate causes: Congress-League deadlock, WWII fatigue, Mountbatten Plan (June 1947).
Signed post-1971 war by PM Indira Gandhi and Pakistan President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto. Key terms: (1) Renunciation of force; (2) Bilateral dispute resolution (no third-party mediation); (3) Line of Control as ceasefire line, NOT international boundary; (4) Respect for sovereignty. Remains legal basis for India-Pakistan engagement.
India's Relations with Other South Asian Neighbours
Details India's bilateral ties with Bangladesh (1971 war, Ganges water-sharing, border issues), Sri Lanka (Tamil-Sinhalese conflict, Indian intervention 1987–90, strategic competition with China), Nepal (open border, Hindu monarchy vs. secularism, Chinese influence), Bhutan (close ally, security dependence), Maldives (strategic location, climate change, China's Belt and Road), and Afghanistan (humanitarian interests, Taliban return 2021). UPSC has tested: Rohingya crisis impact on India-Bangladesh ties, Sri Lankan civil war and Indian role, Nepal's constitutional changes, China's growing presence in Maldives. Know specific disputes: Teesta water accord with Bangladesh, India's strategic interests in Afghanistan post-2021. Trap: assuming India dominates all neighbours equally—Bhutan is a quasi-protectorate while Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are more assertive. Essential for geopolitical analysis questions.
India deployed 70,000 troops to Sri Lanka to enforce Indo-Sri Lanka Accord (1987) ending Tamil-Sinhalese conflict. IPKF faced unexpected Sinhalese and Tamil resistance; 1,200+ Indian soldiers killed. Withdrawal 1990 marked failed intervention; demonstrated limits of military solutions in regional conflicts.
Regional Institutions: SAARC and Beyond
Covers SAARC's founding (1985), purpose, achievements, and paralysis (since 2016 India-Pakistan tensions, India boycotts). Also discusses BIMSTEC (Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Nepal, Bhutan) as an alternative, India's 'Act East' policy, and regional trade cooperation. UPSC has tested: Why has SAARC failed despite South Asia's shared interests? (Answer: India-Pakistan hostility, unequal development, sovereignty concerns). Know BIMSTEC's advantages over SAARC and why India pivots toward it. Trap: confusing SAARC with ASEAN or thinking SAARC remains functional—it is essentially defunct for substantive cooperation. Critical for institutional and strategic questions in GS-2.
Global Powers and South Asia: China, USA, and Others
Analyzes China's strategic investments (Belt and Road in Pakistan, Sri Lanka's ports, Nepal's roads), USA's 'Asia-Pacific rebalance' and Indo-US strategic partnership, and Japan's development aid. UPSC has tested: China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) implications for India, debt-trap diplomacy in Sri Lanka and Maldives, US-India defence ties and Indo-Pacific strategy, strategic competition in Indian Ocean. Know specific projects: Hambantota Port in Sri Lanka (debt crisis), CPEC's route through Gilgit-Baltistan (disputed), Japan's Quad partnership with India. Trap: treating China's involvement as uniformly negative or assuming USA will always support India—understand complexity. This section directly maps to 'Global Powers' questions in Prelims.
CPEC ($62 billion): Pakistan; Hambantota Port ($1.4 billion): Sri Lanka (99-year lease 2017 due to debt); Maldives Male-airport road ($250 million): Chinese debt exposure rising. Pattern: Chinese loans > local debt servicing capacity > asset seizure/political leverage. India excluded; competes via Japan's 'Free and Open Indo-Pacific' alternative.
Issues and Challenges in South Asia
Discusses shared challenges: terrorism and extremism (Taliban, LeT, ISI activities), nuclear proliferation, environmental degradation (Ganges pollution, climate change affecting Maldives and Bangladesh), refugee crises (Rohingya, Afghan refugees), and arms race. UPSC tests terrorism's regional dimension and interstate implications (e.g., Mumbai 26/11, Uri attacks). Climate change and refugee questions are rising in importance. Trap: knowing facts without linking them to India's strategic interests—e.g., Afghan refugee influx affects India's security and development agenda. Understand why terrorism persists despite bilateral agreements. Moderate yield because these issues are distributed across GS-1, GS-2, and GS-3 rather than concentrated in one topic.